• Gabrielle and the Azores

    From Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to All on Thu Sep 25 08:21:52 2025
    434
    WTNT32 KNHC 251141
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Gabrielle Intermediate Advisory Number 34A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072025
    1200 PM GMT Thu Sep 25 2025

    ...GABRIELLE RACING EASTWARD TOWARD THE AZORES...
    ...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO THE AZORES TONIGHT OR
    EARLY FRIDAY...


    SUMMARY OF 1200 PM GMT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...36.4N 36.5W
    ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM W OF THE AZORES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 32 MPH...52 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
    * All of the Azores

    A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
    somewhere within the warning area, in case tonight or early Friday. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
    completion.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1200 PM GMT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gabrielle was
    located near latitude 36.4 North, longitude 36.5 West. Gabrielle is
    moving quickly toward the east near 32 mph (52 km/h). A fast
    eastward to east-northeastward motion is expected during the next
    day or two, followed by a slower eastward to east-southeastward
    motion this weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Gabrielle
    will approach the Azores today and move across the island chain
    tonight into early Friday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Gabrielle is forecast to be at hurricane strength when it
    passes through the Azores. After that, it is expected to weaken as
    an extratropical low through the weekend.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
    the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195
    miles (315 km).

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Gabrielle can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

    WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the Azores tonight into
    early Friday, with tropical storm conditions likely by this
    evening. Significant hurricane-force wind gusts are likely across
    portions of the Azores even after the center passes.

    STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
    significant coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds in the
    Azores. The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive
    waves.

    RAINFALL: From tonight through Friday morning, Gabrielle could
    produce up to 3 to 5 inches, 75 to 125 mm, of storm total rainfall
    across the central Azores. This rainfall could produce flash
    flooding within the mountains. Elsewhere, Gabrielle is expected
    to yield 1 to 3 inches, or 25 to 75 mm, of rain across the western
    and eastern Azores.

    SURF: Swells generated by Gabrielle will continue to affect Bermuda,
    the northeastern coast of the U.S., and Atlantic Canada today.
    Swells from Gabrielle will begin reaching the Azores later today.
    These swells are expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip
    current conditions. Please consult products issued by your local
    weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
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