• TS Gabrielle forecast to

    From Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to All on Fri Sep 19 10:15:22 2025
    761
    WTNT32 KNHC 191423
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Gabrielle Advisory Number 10
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072025
    Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    1100 AM AST Fri Sep 19 2025

    ...GABRIELLE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...21.9N 55.6W
    ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
    ABOUT 915 MI...1470 KM SE OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

    Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Gabrielle.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gabrielle
    was located near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 55.6 West. Gabrielle
    is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
    motion is expected to continue through Saturday. A gradual turn
    towards the north-northwestward is expected by Saturday night,
    followed by a northward motion by Sunday night. On the forecast
    track, the center of Gabrielle is expected to pass east of Bermuda
    Sunday night and Monday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Gradual strengthening is forecast, and Gabrielle is expected to
    become a hurricane by Sunday.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Gabrielle can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

    SURF: Swells generated by Gabrielle are expected to reach Bermuda
    tonight and build through the weekend. These swells are likely
    to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
    consult products from your local weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

    $$
    Forecaster Churchill/Blake
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